Pobierz aplikację
-
- Platformy handlowe
- Aplikacja PU Prime
- MetaTrader 5
- MetaTrader 4
- PU Copy Trading
- Trader Web
- PU Social
-
- Warunki Handlowe
- Typy kont
- Spready, Koszty i Swap
- Depozyty i Wypłaty
- Opłaty i Koszty
- Godziny Handlu
Pobierz aplikację
24 September 2025,07:21
Daily Market Analysis
24 September 2025, 07:21
*Despite BoJ’s cautious stance, a recent U.S.-Japan trade deal and improving conditions are fueling bets on a potential October rate hike.
*Base pay rose 3% year-on-year, the strongest in decades, with real wages turning positive for the first time in over two years, strengthening the case for tighter policy.
*Focus turns to today’s National Core CPI and Friday’s Tokyo CPI, with upside surprises likely to boost BoJ tightening expectations and support the yen.
The Japanese yen is stabilizing after a period of sustained pressure, as markets increasingly price in the possibility of a Bank of Japan rate hike in October. While the central bank has maintained a cautious stance amid global trade uncertainties and regional geopolitical risks, recent developments—including a bilateral trade agreement with the U.S.—have reduced external headwinds, allowing focus to return to domestic inflationary trends.
Supporting the case for policy normalization, Japan’s spring wage negotiations resulted in a 3% year-on-year increase in base pay—the highest in decades—while real wages turned positive for the first time in over two years. These developments have strengthened expectations that the BoJ may proceed with another rate increase as early as next month.
Market attention is now firmly on Japanese inflation data, particularly Friday’s Tokyo CPI release, which serves as a leading indicator for national price trends. While today’s regional or preliminary CPI readings may draw interest, a firm print in Tokyo exceeding consensus forecasts would likely solidify hawkish BoJ expectations and provide the yen with sustained momentum.
A conclusive breakout above key technical resistance levels would signal a reversal of the yen’s recent bearish trend, especially if supported by a shift in BoJ communication toward earlier policy normalization. Should the data fall short, however, the yen may remain confined to its recent ranges until clearer signals emerge from the central bank.
The EUR/JPY pair is testing significant resistance near the July 2024 peak, following a recovery from a minor technical retracement. The ability to regain upward momentum and challenge previous highs suggests underlying bullish strength remains firm, with a breakout likely opening the path toward multi-year highs.
The pair’s constructive technical structure is supported by momentum indicators. The Relative Strength Index is advancing toward overbought territory, reflecting sustained buying pressure, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence continues to trend above its zero line, confirming that bullish momentum remains well-supported.
A clear break above the July resistance level would signal a resumption of the broader uptrend, with the next key technical target seen near the 176.00 handle. Conversely, a rejection at current levels could lead to a period of consolidation before the next directional move.
Resistance Levels: 175.40, 177.80
Support Levels: 173.45, 171.50
Trade forex, indices, metal, and more at industry-low spreads and lightning-fast execution.
Zarejestruj się na Live Account w PU Prime za pomocą naszego procesu bez żadnych kłopotów.
Bez wysiłku doładuj swoje konto za pomocą szerokiego zakresu kanałów i akceptowanych walut.
Uzyskaj dostęp do setek instrumentów w ramach wiodących na rynku warunków handlu
Platformy handlowe
Uczyć się
O PU Prime
Korporacyjny
Please note the Website is intended for individuals residing in jurisdictions where accessing the Website is permitted by law.
Please note that PU Prime and its affiliated entities are neither established nor operating in your home jurisdiction.
By clicking the "Acknowledge" button, you confirm that you are entering this website solely based on your initiative and not as a result of any specific marketing outreach. You wish to obtain information from this website which is provided on reverse solicitation in accordance with the laws of your home jurisdiction.
Thank You for Your Acknowledgement!
Ten en cuenta que el sitio web está destinado a personas que residen en jurisdicciones donde el acceso al sitio web está permitido por la ley.
Ten en cuenta que PU Prime y sus entidades afiliadas no están establecidas ni operan en tu jurisdicción de origen.
Al hacer clic en el botón "Aceptar", confirmas que estás ingresando a este sitio web por tu propia iniciativa y no como resultado de ningún esfuerzo de marketing específico. Deseas obtener información de este sitio web que se proporciona mediante solicitud inversa de acuerdo con las leyes de tu jurisdicción de origen.
Thank You for Your Acknowledgement!
